Note to myself

DONT TRADE IMPULSIVELY, STUPID!
DISCIPLINE! DISCIPLINE! DISCIPLINE!!!



Disclaimer

All contents here are meant for the writer and the writer only. Any information gained here that led to personal loss in stock markets have nothing to do with the writer what-so-ever.

(However, if you earn money in stock market using the information here, you are obliged to treat the writer to a sumptuous meal. =)


Btw, since the writer just writes whatever he read into the blog, the blog is in one BIG mess. It is recommended for newcomers to read the articles in IW's Stock Trading Guide (sidebar) in order.


Good Luck! =)


Saturday, November 29, 2008

Elliott Wave

1 . Tradable waves are impulsive waves 1,3,5 and corrective C wave.

2. Impulsive wave 3 is the steepest and most dramatic wave of all waves and occurs on the highest volume and highest Elliot Wave oscillator (or MACD) of all waves. Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.

3. Wave 1,3,5 are made up of five minor waves and most corrections are a-b-c corrections. Irregular corrective waves exist.

4. Wave 5 will usually exceed wave 3 on lower volume than wave 3 high.

5. Wave 5 can fail and just form a double top with wave 3 instead of going to higher levels.

6. Most traders get whipsawed and lose money in wave 4. Don't assume wave 4 is over until you can clearly see an a-b-c wave pattern with the correction ending 38 to 61.8% between wave 2 and wave 3. Wave B is usually 50% of wave A and should not exceed 75% of wave A. Wave C is 1/1.62/2,62 times of wave A.

7. If wave 2 is simple, then wave 4 will most likely be complex. Vice versa.

8. Corrective wave 2 stats: 12% retrace within 38% of wave 1, 73% retrace between 50-60% amd 15% retrace below 62%.

9. Impulsive wave 3 stats: 45% reaches 1.6 to 1.75 wave 1 , 30% reaches between 1.75 to 2.62 wave 1, 15% reaches 1 to 1.5 wave 1, 8% reaches greater than 2.62 wave 1.

10. Corrective wave 4 stats: 60% retrace 30% to 50% wave 3 , 15% retrace between 24% to 30% wave 3, 15% retrace 50% to 62% wave 3.

11. Impulsive wave 5 stats: Use Fibonacci calculation. Wave 5 usually ends between 1.0 and 1.62 the length of beginning of wave 1 to end of wave 3. Failed wave 5s do occurs.

12. If you enter a potential wave 5 trade at wave 4 Fibonacci retracement level (ie 38 or 50 %) , set your stop somewhere aorund 62 % retracement level because the normal max wave 4 retracement level is 61.8%.

13. Trade ONLY in the direction of waves 1,3,5 and C on the primary time frame you use for entry and exit.

14. To confirm or filter your trade, trade ONLY in the direction of waves 1,3,5 and C on the the higher time frame.

14. Wave count can change.

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